World Cup · Outright

World Cup Winner Odds

Who will win the World Cup? We simulate the rest of the bracket 3,000 times from the round of 32 — using each team's group-stage strength and the results already in — to get title probabilities and fair odds.

Top Scorer odds Match odds
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# Team To win Model odds
1 Argentina Argentina Reaches final 32% WWWWW 18% 5.45 Bet →
2 France France Reaches final 29% WWWWW 17% 5.79 Bet →
3 Mexico Mexico Reaches final 23% LWWWW 14% 7.08 Bet →
4 Brazil Brazil Reaches final 17% LWWWD 10% 10.3 Bet →
5 Spain Spain Reaches final 16% WWWWD 7% 14.0 Bet →
6 Morocco Morocco Reaches final 14% WWWWD 6% 15.9 Bet →
7 Switzerland Switzerland Reaches final 14% WWWWD 6% 17.1 Bet →
8 Colombia Colombia Reaches final 11% LWDWW 5% 20.4 Bet →
9 USA USA Reaches final 11% LWLWW 5% 21.9 Bet →
10 England England Reaches final 8% WWWDW 4% 27.3 Bet →
11 Portugal Portugal Reaches final 6% LWDWD 2% 51 Bet →
12 Belgium Belgium Reaches final 6% WWWDD 2% 51 Bet →
13 Norway Norway Reaches final 4% WWLWW 2% 64 Bet →
14 Canada Canada Reaches final 3% LWLWD 1% 94 Bet →
15 Egypt Egypt Reaches final 4% LWDWD 1% 100 Bet →
16 Paraguay Paraguay Reaches final 2% LWDWL 1% 158 Bet →
SheKicks model estimate. These are our own model prices computed from live standings, recent form and scoring data — not bookmaker odds. They refresh with the data feed. 3,000 Monte-Carlo bracket simulations from the round of 32; win probabilities via Elo from group-stage form. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
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