It will be England vs Italy on Tuesday with a spot in the Euro 2025 final on the line, and ahead of the massive semi-final we take a look at the latest betting tips and odds, and give our prediction for the final score.
England vs Italy match facts
- ⚽️ Euro 2025: Semi-final
- 🏟️ Stade de Geneve
- ⏱️Tuesday, July 22nd: 20:00pm (BST) (ITV One and ITV X)
- 🎲 Match Odds (90 minutes): England 4/9 | Draw 13/5 | Italy 9/2
How England and Italy reached the semi-finals
England looked to be heading home on multiple occasions during their quarter-final against Sweden.
Sweden were 12 minutes away from a 2-0 win before quickfire goals from Lucy Bronze and Michelle Agyemang took the game to extra-time.
The game then went to penalties, which resulted in being one of the most dramatic shootouts in women’s football history.
On two occasions, Sweden just needed to score one penalty to make the semi-finals – only to miss.
Lucy Bronze scored England’s third penalty during the shootout, before Sweden missed again, to send the Lionesses into the semi-finals.
Italy’s quarter-final with Norway was not without drama either.
Ada Hegerberg missed from the penalty spot but pulled Norway level after Cristiana Girelli gave Italy the lead.
Girelli though took advantage of some poor defending to score in the 90th minute to send Italy to their first semi-final since 1997.
What is the team news ahead of England vs Italy
The big concern for England is the fitness of captain Leah Williamson.
Williamson came off with an ankle knock during the contest against Italy. However, if she is anything near ready, Sarina Wiegman will likely keep her in the starting XI.
Chloe Kelly is pushing for a place after her excellent performance off the bench against Sweden. However, Wiegman will likely keep Lauren Hemp in her lineup.
Italy could look to switch to a back-three against England. Martina Lenzini would likely step into the team if this is the case.
Cristiana Girelli will again lead the line after making a huge impact in the win over Norway.
England Women predicted XI: Hampton; Bronze, Williamson, Carter, Greenwood; Toone, Walsh, Stanway; James, Hemp, Russo
Italy Women predicted XI: Giuliani; Lenzini, Salvai, Linari; Oliviero, Caruso, Giugliano, Severini, Boattin; Cantore, Girelli
England vs Italy prediction
England will fancy their chances of making a third consecutive major final at Women’s Euro 2025.
Should they do so, the Lionesses will either face Spain in a rematch from the 2023 World Cup final, or a rematch with Germany from the Euro 2022 final.
Italy are in the semi-finals for the first time since Euro 1997 – which was also the last time they reached the final.
However, despite making it this far, they have been far from convincing throughout the tournament.
They only reached the quarter-finals thanks to a narrow 1-0 win over Belgium and a 1-1 draw with Portugal.
Andrea Sochin’s side showed great spirit to beat Norway but a test against England might prove too difficult.
So here at SheKicks, we predict England will beat Italy 3-1, which according to the UK’s best betting sites, is available at odds of 10/1.
Prediction: England 3-1 Italy– 12/1
England vs Italy betting tips
- England vs Italy betting tip 1: Alessia Russo and Lauren James to have 2 shots on more each on target – 7/2
England’s attackers should get plenty of chances against an inferior Italian side during the Euro 2025 semi-final.
Alessia Russo might have just one goal to her name at Euro 2025, but she has been heavily involved in most of England’s positive play this summer.
Lauren James scored twice in the victory over the Netherlands and has been quiet since then.
However, after the way England survived their quarter-final with Sweden, the Lionesses will be positive about their chances of reaching the final and both Russo and James will be heavily involved.
— Italy ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ (@Azzurri_En) July 19, 2025
- England vs Italy betting tip 2: Over 2.5 goals – 8/13
Each of England’s four games at Women’s Euro 2025 has resulted in over 2.5 goals.
Italy’s clashes with high-calibre teams in Spain and Norway also saw over 2.5 goals each.
Therefore, the chance of over 2.5 goals in the Euro 2025 semi-final appears likely.
Euro 2025 outright odds
At the time of writing, England are second favourites behind Spain to win Euro 2025 at odds of 11/4.
Of the four teams left standing, Italy are the biggest underdogs to lift the trophy at a price of 18/1.
