Women’s Euro 2025: Italy vs Spain prediction, betting tips and odds

Here we take a look at the latest betting tips, odds and give our prediction for the Italy vs Spain clash at Women’s Euro 2025 on Friday night.

Italy vs Spain game information

  • ⚽️ Euro 2025: Group B
  • 🏟️ Wankdorf Stadium in Bern
  • ⏱️ Friday, July 11th: 20:00pm (BST) (BBC One and iPlayer)
  • 🎲 Odds: Italy 9/1 | Draw 4/1 | Spain 1/5

Italy and Spain team news

Italy

Italy aim to reach the knockout rounds of the Women’s European Championship for the first time since 2013.

They look to be in a strong position to reach the knockout rounds, although they missed the chance to do so after conceding a late equaliser against Portugal last time out.

As per the Women’s Euro 2025 permutations, Italy have a significant goal-difference advantage over the third-placed side. So even if they lose and Portugal win, there would need to be a large swing in goal difference for Portugal to advance.

Italian head coach Andrea Sochin will likely stick with the side that started their opening two games.

Italy predicted lineup vs Spain: Giuliani; Lenzini, Salvai, Linari; Di Guglielmo, Giugliano, Severini, Boattin; Caruso, Cantore, Girelli

Spain

Spain are already in the quarter-finals so Montse Tome could make some changes.

Ona Battle and Laia Aleixandri are likely to step out as they are both just one yellow card away from missing the quarter-final.

This could be the opportune moment to give Aitana Bonmati her first start. The Barcelona star has been restricted to substitute appearances after her recent bout with viral meningitis.

Spain predicted lineup vs Italy: Nanclares; Fernandez, Paredes, Mendez, Carmona; Bonmati, Guijarro, Putellas; Caldentey, Pina, Gonzalez

Italy vs Spain prediction

Spain are by far the standout team of the tournament after scoring 11 goals in their opening two games.

Italy can take some solace going into the match by the fact that Spain have already qualified and could change up their starting XI.

Andrea Sochin’s side will be wary of the attacking threat Spain possesses. Italy’s place in the quarter-finals look secure but a heavy defeat could turn things around in the favour of Portugal.

Here at SheKicks, we think that even with a potentially weaker team, Spain will make it three wins out of three in Group B.

However, we don’t expect Spain to steamroll their opposition in the manner they did in their opening two games.

So we are predicting a 3-1 win for Spain, which according to the UK’s top betting websites, is available at odds of 9/1.

Prediction: Italy 1-3 Spain – 9/1

Italy vs Spain betting tips

  • Italy vs Spain betting tip 1: Over 2.5 goals – 40/85

Games involving Spain always guarantee goals.

Though they have already qualified for the knockout round and could make changes, we expect that they still be going all out to take the victory.

The last seven games involving Spain have all generated over 2.5 goals.

That can be argued by the fact that three of Italy’s last four games has seen under 2.5 goals.

However, given the attacking talent that Spain possesses throughout their squad, it would be a surprise to see a low-scoring game.

  • Italy vs Spain betting tip 2: Alexia Putellas to score anytime – 5/6

Alexia Putellas has already scored three goals at Euro 2025 in Spain’s opening two games.

Currently, she leads the Golden Boot standings alongside teammate Esther Gonzalez.

The 31-year-old has scored five goals in six appearances for Spain in 2025, and we expect her to carry on her good form in their next match with Italy.

What are Spain’s chances of winning Euro 2025?

It is no surprise that the best UK betting websites have Spain as favourites to win Euro 2025.

Spain were excellent in their 5-0 victory over Portugal and 6-2 win against Belgium. The latter of which equalled an all-time Women’s Euros record.

Montse Tome’s side are 17/20 favourites to lift the trophy. Their nearest challengers are France (5/1), England (5/1), and Germany (6/1).

Italy are listed as seventh-favourites at odds of 28/1.

Do Italy stand a chance of topping Group B?

Despite Spain’s dominance of Group B, Italy still technically stand a chance of topping the group.

Italy are 10/1 to beat Spain and finish top of Group B. Spain though are overwhelming favourites to win Group B at odds of 1/20.

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