Ahead of Portugal vs Italy at Women’s Euro 2025, we take a look at the latest betting tips and odds, while also giving our prediction for the Group B clash.
Portugal vs Italy preview
Italy could book their place in the quarter-finals of the tournament on Monday evening.
The nation who crashed out of the group stage at the last two Women’s Euros, put themselves in a good position by beating Belgium on the opening matchday.
Bayern Munich midfielder Andrea Caruso produced an unstoppable strike to give the Italians a slender 1-0 victory.
Andrea Sochin’s side will advance if they beat Portugal at the Stade de Geneve, regardless of the result in the group’s other game between Spain and Belgium.
Portugal are fighting for their place in the tournament after a 5-0 thumping by Spain on the opening matchday.
It was an emotional opener for Portugal, who paid tribute to Diogo Jota after the Liverpool star and his brother Andre died in a car crash.
Portugal are bidding to reach their first knockout phase at the Women’s Euros after early exits in 2017 and 2022. However, form is not on their side, and they have failed to win any of their last six games across all competitions.
Below, we take a look at the latest odds and betting tips, and give our prediction for the Group B match.
Portugal vs Italy game information
- ⚽️ Euro 2025: Group B
- 🏟️ Stade de Geneve
- ⏱️ Monday, July 7th: 20:00pm (BST) (ITV One and ITVX from 7:15pm)
- 🎲 Odds: Portugal 4/1 | Draw 23/10 | Italy 4/7
Portugal vs Italy team news
Kika Nazareth is unlikely to be ready to start as she recovers from an ankle injury after being a surprise call-up for the tournament.
Although Portugal’s defensive lapses came against the strongest team in the tournament, they could look to make some changes to sure things up at the back.
Ana Seica and Ana Borges could come in after featuring as half-time substitutes against Spain.
It is more straightforward for Italy with head coach Andrea Soncin unlikely to make any changes to the side that beat Belgium.
Portugal predicted XI (3-5-2): Pereira; Seica, Costa, F. Pinto; Borges, Jacinto, Norton, T. Pinto, Amado; D. Silva, J. Silva
Italy predicted XI: Giuliani; Lenzini, Salvai, Linari, Di Guglielmo; Cantore, Giugliano, Severini, Boattin; Caruso; Girelli
Portugal vs Italy betting tips
Portugal vs Italy betting tip 1: Girelli to score, Italy to win, and both teams to score – 15/4
Veteran striker Cristiana Girelli will be looking to add to her 53 international goals for Italy on Monday evening against Portugal.
She will be fancying her chances after watching Spain put five goals past Portugal last Thursday.
Italy look to record three consecutive wins for the first time since 2022. Andrea Sochin’s side will be hungry for success after their struggles at the last two Euros.
Therefore, they could be ready to pounce on Portugal’s defensive vulnerabilities in Geneva on Monday night.
However, Portugal won’t be brushed aside as easy as they were against Spain. With the likes of Diana and Jessica Silva, Portugal have the threat to cause Italy some defensive problems and get onto the scoresheet.
According to the UK’s top betting websites, Girelli to score, Italy to win and both teams to score is available at 15/4.
Portugal vs Italy betting tip 2: Over 2.5 goals – 9/10
The defensive record of Portugal opens up the possibility of this game seeing over 2.5 goals.
Portugal have lost by two goals or more in five of their last matches – conceding a staggering 25 goals in total.
They concede too many chances and it would be a surprise not to see Italy find the back of the net.
However, the difference in quality isn’t quite as stark as it was when Spain met Portugal. So Portugal could also help to the goal tally, even if Italy walk away with the victory.
Portugal vs Italy prediction
Italy will find it tougher to beat Portugal than what Spain did on Thursday evening.
However, Andrea Sochin’s side are in good form having won seven from their last 11 games.
Portugal will be keen to put on a stronger fight than they did in their opening game. However, their current form is a concern and it might be too much to overcome this on Monday night.
With that said, our prediction for Portugal vs Italy is a 3-1 victory for the Italians. According to the UK’s top betting sites, is available at odds of 12/1.
Prediction: Portugal 1-3 Italy – 12/1
What are Italy’s chances of winning Euro 2025?
Italy holds the unfortunate record of reaching the most Women’s Euros finals and semi-finals without ever winning the competition.
They lost to Norway in the final of Euro 1993, before falling to eight-time winners Germany four years later.
Italy have a strong chance of reaching the knockout phase for the first time since Euro 2013.
However, the bookmakers don’t fancy their chances of lifting the trophy in Basel on July 27th.
At the time of writing, Italy have been given odds of 25/1 to win Euro 2025. This puts them as eighth favourites to win the tournament, behind Spain, Germany, France, England, Sweden, the Netherlands and Norway.
Can Portugal recover from Spain defeat to qualify from Group B?
Portugal face a huge hill to overcome following their 5-0 defeat to Spain on the opening matchday.
Francisco Neto’s side have got the tournament favourites out of the way and now have clashes against Italy and Belgium to come.
At the time of writing, Portugal are at odds of 200/1 to win Group B, behind Spain (1/40), Italy (10/1) and Belgium (100/1). This makes them the least likely of the four Group B teams to reach the knockout phase.
However, if they can put an end to their disastrous recent form against Italy on Monday night, they will fancy their chances of making the knockout phase.
